◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
SP0 v HS
Recognise SC Paderborn 07’s players →Recognise Hamburg SV’s players →
SC Paderborn 07›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 01:30 PM UTC
Hamburg SV›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
40%
30%
30%
SP0DrawHS
expected goals
1.23–1.04
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SP0 ↓HS →
012340
10
11
6
2
1
1
13
13
7
2
1
2
8
8
4
1
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SP0
ATT XG-1.51
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
HS
ATT XG-0.76
DEF XGA-0.52
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
SP0 v HS
Recognise SC Paderborn 07’s players →Recognise Hamburg SV’s players →
SC Paderborn 07›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 01:30 PM UTC
Hamburg SV›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
40%
30%
30%
SP0DrawHS
expected goals
1.23–1.04
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SP0 ↓HS →
012340
10
11
6
2
1
1
13
13
7
2
1
2
8
8
4
1
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SP0
ATT XG-1.51
DEF XGA+0.43
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
HS
ATT XG-0.76
DEF XGA-0.52
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG