◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
RL v SE
RB Leipzig›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 01:30 PM UTC
SV Elversberg›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
60%
19%
21%
RLDrawSE
expected goals
2.49–1.45
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
RL ↓SE →
012340
2
3
2
1
0
1
5
7
5
2
1
2
6
9
6
3
1
3
5
7
5
3
1
4
3
5
3
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
RL
ATT XG+0.73
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
SE
ATT XG+0.56
DEF XGA-0.37
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
RL v SE
RB Leipzig›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 01:30 PM UTC
SV Elversberg›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
60%
19%
21%
RLDrawSE
expected goals
2.49–1.45
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
RL ↓SE →
012340
2
3
2
1
0
1
5
7
5
2
1
2
6
9
6
3
1
3
5
7
5
3
1
4
3
5
3
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
RL
ATT XG+0.73
DEF XGA+0.65
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
SE
ATT XG+0.56
DEF XGA-0.37
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG