◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FM v WB
Recognise 1. FSV Mainz 05’s players →Recognise Werder Bremen’s players →
1. FSV Mainz 05›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 01:30 PM UTC
Werder Bremen›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
59%
21%
20%
1FMDrawWB
expected goals
2.22–1.23
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FM ↓WB →
012340
3
4
2
1
0
1
7
9
5
2
1
2
8
10
6
2
1
3
6
7
4
2
1
4
3
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FM
ATT XG+0.21
DEF XGA-0.01
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
WB
ATT XG-0.53
DEF XGA-0.46
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Bundesliga · 2026-27
1FM v WB
Recognise 1. FSV Mainz 05’s players →Recognise Werder Bremen’s players →
1. FSV Mainz 05›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 01:30 PM UTC
Werder Bremen›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Bundesliga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Model view
59%
21%
20%
1FMDrawWB
expected goals
2.22–1.23
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
1FM ↓WB →
012340
3
4
2
1
0
1
7
9
5
2
1
2
8
10
6
2
1
3
6
7
4
2
1
4
3
4
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
1FM
ATT XG+0.21
DEF XGA-0.01
FORM+0.33
AVAIL0.00
WB
ATT XG-0.53
DEF XGA-0.46
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG