◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Serie A · 2026-27
ATA v PAR
Recognise Atalanta’s players →Recognise Parma’s players →
Atalanta›
vs
Mon, Nov 2 · 07:45 PM UTC
Parma›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
59%
24%
17%
ATADrawPAR
expected goals
1.76–0.80
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ATA ↓PAR →
012340
8
6
2
1
0
1
14
11
4
1
0
2
12
10
4
1
0
3
7
6
2
1
0
4
3
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ATA
ATT XG+0.19
DEF XGA+0.54
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
PAR
ATT XG-1.33
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Serie A · 2026-27
ATA v PAR
Recognise Atalanta’s players →Recognise Parma’s players →
Atalanta›
vs
Mon, Nov 2 · 07:45 PM UTC
Parma›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
59%
24%
17%
ATADrawPAR
expected goals
1.76–0.80
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ATA ↓PAR →
012340
8
6
2
1
0
1
14
11
4
1
0
2
12
10
4
1
0
3
7
6
2
1
0
4
3
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ATA
ATT XG+0.19
DEF XGA+0.54
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
PAR
ATT XG-1.33
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG