◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Serie A · 2026-27
LEC v GEN
Lecce›
vs
Sun, Nov 1 · 05:00 PM UTC
Genoa›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
34%
30%
36%
LECDrawGEN
expected goals
1.14–1.16
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LEC ↓GEN →
012340
10
12
7
3
1
1
11
13
8
3
1
2
7
8
4
2
0
3
2
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LEC
ATT XG-1.05
DEF XGA-0.17
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
GEN
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA+0.16
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Serie A · 2026-27
LEC v GEN
Lecce›
vs
Sun, Nov 1 · 05:00 PM UTC
Genoa›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
34%
30%
36%
LECDrawGEN
expected goals
1.14–1.16
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LEC ↓GEN →
012340
10
12
7
3
1
1
11
13
8
3
1
2
7
8
4
2
0
3
2
3
2
1
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LEC
ATT XG-1.05
DEF XGA-0.17
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
GEN
ATT XG-0.77
DEF XGA+0.16
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG