◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Serie A · 2026-27
FRO v LEC
Frosinone›
vs
Thu, Oct 29 · 05:30 PM UTC
Lecce›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
50%
26%
24%
FRODrawLEC
expected goals
1.65–1.08
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FRO ↓LEC →
012340
7
7
4
1
0
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FRO
ATT XG-0.12
DEF XGA-0.32
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
LEC
ATT XG-1.05
DEF XGA-0.17
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Serie A · 2026-27
FRO v LEC
Frosinone›
vs
Thu, Oct 29 · 05:30 PM UTC
Lecce›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
50%
26%
24%
FRODrawLEC
expected goals
1.65–1.08
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
FRO ↓LEC →
012340
7
7
4
1
0
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
FRO
ATT XG-0.12
DEF XGA-0.32
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
LEC
ATT XG-1.05
DEF XGA-0.17
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG