◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Serie A · 2026-27
MIL v BOL
Milan›
vs
Wed, Oct 28 · 05:30 PM UTC
Bologna›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
49%
26%
25%
MILDrawBOL
expected goals
1.62–1.09
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MIL ↓BOL →
012340
7
7
4
1
0
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MIL
ATT XG+0.41
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
BOL
ATT XG-0.33
DEF XGA+0.62
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Serie A · 2026-27
MIL v BOL
Milan›
vs
Wed, Oct 28 · 05:30 PM UTC
Bologna›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
49%
26%
25%
MILDrawBOL
expected goals
1.62–1.09
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MIL ↓BOL →
012340
7
7
4
1
0
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
1
3
5
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MIL
ATT XG+0.41
DEF XGA+0.81
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
BOL
ATT XG-0.33
DEF XGA+0.62
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG