◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Serie A · 2026-27
INT v FIO
Internazionale›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 11:30 AM UTC
Fiorentina›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
70%
18%
12%
INTDrawFIO
expected goals
2.46–0.95
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
INT ↓FIO →
012340
3
3
1
0
0
1
8
8
4
1
0
2
10
9
5
1
0
3
8
8
4
1
0
4
5
5
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
INT
ATT XG+1.54
DEF XGA+1.25
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
FIO
ATT XG-0.42
DEF XGA-0.19
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Serie A · 2026-27
INT v FIO
Internazionale›
vs
Sun, Oct 25 · 11:30 AM UTC
Fiorentina›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
70%
18%
12%
INTDrawFIO
expected goals
2.46–0.95
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
INT ↓FIO →
012340
3
3
1
0
0
1
8
8
4
1
0
2
10
9
5
1
0
3
8
8
4
1
0
4
5
5
2
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
INT
ATT XG+1.54
DEF XGA+1.25
FORM+0.67
AVAIL0.00
FIO
ATT XG-0.42
DEF XGA-0.19
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG