◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
Serie A · 2026-27
LAZ v PAR
Recognise Lazio’s players →Recognise Parma’s players →
Lazio›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 06:45 PM UTC
Parma›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
56%
27%
17%
LAZDrawPAR
expected goals
1.51–0.70
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LAZ ↓PAR →
012340
11
8
3
1
0
1
17
12
4
1
0
2
13
9
3
1
0
3
6
4
2
0
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LAZ
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
PAR
ATT XG-1.33
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
Serie A · 2026-27
LAZ v PAR
Recognise Lazio’s players →Recognise Parma’s players →
Lazio›
vs
Sat, Oct 24 · 06:45 PM UTC
Parma›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the Serie A.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand Serie A →
Model view
56%
27%
17%
LAZDrawPAR
expected goals
1.51–0.70
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
LAZ ↓PAR →
012340
11
8
3
1
0
1
17
12
4
1
0
2
13
9
3
1
0
3
6
4
2
0
0
4
2
2
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
LAZ
ATT XG-0.34
DEF XGA+1.09
FORM+1.33
AVAIL0.00
PAR
ATT XG-1.33
DEF XGA-0.04
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG