◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
La Liga · 2026-27
SEV v ALA
Sevilla›
vs
Fri, Nov 6 · 08:00 PM UTC
Alavés›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the La Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand La Liga →
Model view
44%
26%
30%
SEVDrawALA
expected goals
1.60–1.30
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SEV ↓ALA →
012340
6
7
5
2
1
1
9
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SEV
ATT XG-0.42
DEF XGA-0.03
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
ALA
ATT XG-0.36
DEF XGA+0.34
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
La Liga · 2026-27
SEV v ALA
Sevilla›
vs
Fri, Nov 6 · 08:00 PM UTC
Alavés›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the La Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand La Liga →
Model view
44%
26%
30%
SEVDrawALA
expected goals
1.60–1.30
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
SEV ↓ALA →
012340
6
7
5
2
1
1
9
11
7
3
1
2
7
9
6
3
1
3
4
5
3
1
0
4
2
2
1
1
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
SEV
ATT XG-0.42
DEF XGA-0.03
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
ALA
ATT XG-0.36
DEF XGA+0.34
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG