◆
MPFC
⚙
WED, OCT 21
La Liga · 2026-27
ALA v MÁL
Alavés›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · 07:00 PM UTC
Málaga›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the La Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand La Liga →
Model view
69%
20%
11%
ALADrawMÁL
expected goals
2.10–0.70
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ALA ↓MÁL →
012340
6
4
1
0
0
1
13
9
3
1
0
2
13
9
3
1
0
3
9
7
2
1
0
4
5
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ALA
ATT XG-0.36
DEF XGA+0.34
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
MÁL
ATT XG-1.69
DEF XGA-0.97
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG
La Liga · 2026-27
ALA v MÁL
Alavés›
vs
Fri, Oct 23 · 07:00 PM UTC
Málaga›
What is at stake
Three points are available in the La Liga.

A win is worth three points and a draw one. The meaning of this match comes from the title race, qualification places and relegation fight around it.

Understand La Liga →
Model view
69%
20%
11%
ALADrawMÁL
expected goals
2.10–0.70
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
ALA ↓MÁL →
012340
6
4
1
0
0
1
13
9
3
1
0
2
13
9
3
1
0
3
9
7
2
1
0
4
5
3
1
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
ALA
ATT XG-0.36
DEF XGA+0.34
FORM-1.33
AVAIL0.00
MÁL
ATT XG-1.69
DEF XGA-0.97
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG