La Liga · 2026-27
What happened
Getafe 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
GETDrawRV
expected goals
1.15–1.02
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
GET ↓RV →
012340
11
12
6
2
1
113
13
7
2
1
28
8
4
1
0
33
3
2
1
0
41
1
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
GET
ATT XG-1.26
DEF XGA+1.00
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
RV
ATT XG-0.41
DEF XGA+0.45
FORM0.00
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG