La Liga · 2026-27
What happened
Osasuna 2–0 Racing Santander.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
OSADrawRS
expected goals
2.66–1.51
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Model favorite landed — priced 62% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
OSA ↓RS →
012340
2
2
2
1
0
14
6
5
2
1
25
8
6
3
1
35
7
6
3
1
43
5
4
2
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
OSA
ATT XG-0.53
DEF XGA+0.14
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
RS
ATT XG-0.18
DEF XGA-2.75
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG