La Liga · 2026-27
What happened
Racing Santander 2–2 Valencia.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
RSDrawVAL
expected goals
1.89–1.88
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 22% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
RS ↓VAL →
012340
2
4
4
3
1
14
8
8
5
2
24
8
7
5
2
33
5
5
3
1
41
2
2
1
1
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
RS
ATT XG-0.18
DEF XGA-2.75
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
VAL
ATT XG-0.67
DEF XGA+0.41
FORM-0.33
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG