La Liga · 2026-27
What happened
Málaga 1–1 Espanyol.
This result now feeds the competition table, each team's form and the next model update.
Model view · before kickoff
MÁLDrawESP
expected goals
0.83–1.23
model
v2 · xG Dixon-Coles
Upset by the model's book — the winner carried just 31% pre-kick.
Dig into exact scoreline probabilities
MÁL ↓ESP →
012340
13
16
10
4
1
111
13
8
3
1
24
5
3
1
0
31
1
1
0
0
40
0
0
0
0
% chance of each scoreline · Poisson on expected goals
Form · last 5
What drives the forecast
MÁL
ATT XG-1.69
DEF XGA-0.97
FORM-1.00
AVAIL0.00
ESP
ATT XG-0.52
DEF XGA+0.02
FORM-0.67
AVAIL0.00
z-scores vs field average · fitted on 2-season xG